Investigating and Analyzing the Role of Institutional Resilience in Facing the Effects of Climate Change on Cities (Case Study: Mashhad City)

Document Type : Scientific-Research

Authors

1 Professor of Human Geography and Planning, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

2 PhD in Geography and Urban Planning, University of Tehran, Kish, Iran

3 PhD student in Geography and Urban Planning, University of Tehran, Kish, Iran

Abstract
Extended Abstract

Introduction

The hazards associated with climate change and its ramifications for urban structures have escalated into a remarkable challenge for municipalities, urban officials, and city managers over the globe. This critical situation emphasizes the imperative for cities to take various strategies for safeguarding citizens through the mitigation, control, or reduction of climate change impacts, or more precisely through enhancing their resilience. Here, the system of urban management and institutions instrumental in urban development play a significant role in confronting the consequences of climate change. City administrators are leveraging urban planning instruments to counteract the deleterious effects of climate change and bolster the adaptive capacity of the citizenry against this phenomenon. Mashhad as Iran's second-most populous metropolis is not an exception of this pressing issue. Such environmental crises and challenges as climate change, global warming, land subsidence, and pervasive pollution (especially air pollution), represent major impediments to the urban management of this city. Among these, climate change and its multifaceted effects are one of the most critical concerns. Conversely, the accelerating the trajectory of urbanization, alongside the intensified human activities, pervasive construction processes, the expansion of the transportation network, and the proliferation of production centers, have worsened the climate of Mashhad. Considering the issues, this study tried to evaluate the efficacy and impact of Mashhad's urban management in making this city resilient to the effects of climate change.
 

Method

The aim of doing this research was investigating and assessing the institutional resilience of the Mashhad urban management, specifically the Municipality as the central entity, regarding the mitigation of the impacts of climate change. This applied study used a mixed-methods (quantitative-qualitative) approach. Accordingly, following a comprehensive review of the theoretical foundations and concepts pertaining to climate change, its urban impacts, and institutional resilience (including its constituent components), measurement criteria and indicators were applied to evaluate the 
institutional resilience status of Mashhad Municipality concerning climate change mitigation. Accordingly, a researcher-made questionnaire of the Likert scale was distributed among 40 experts and personnel of the Mashhad Municipality. The collected data were then subjected to analysis through one-sample T-tests, Pearson correlation analysis, and regression analysis.
 
 

Results

The assessment of the institutional resilience status of the Mashhad urban management, regarding the mitigation of climate change impacts, was systematically evaluated across five principal dimensions: 1) the dissemination of awareness and human resource training concerning climate change phenomena; 2) the efficiency of adaptive measures; 3) the collaboration between urban management, citizens, and governmental bodies in adaptation efforts; 4) the up-to-dateness of guidelines and regulations pertaining to climate change adaptation; and 5) the accessibility of requisite financial and informational resources. The results of the one-sample T-test showed that the mean scores for these components were 2.25, 2.02, 2.24, 2.15, and 2.43, respectively. Since the p-value of all components was less than 0.05, a statistically significant difference was found between the component means and the research criterion mean (mean criterion = 3.0). Moreover, the determination that both the upper and lower confidence limits for these components were negative allows us to infer that the Mashhad urban management lacks the requisite operational resilience in face of the impacts of climate change. Moreover, the Pearson correlation analysis showed a significant and direct correlation between the institutional resilience components and the reduction of climate change effects within the city. This means that the constituent elements of urban management resilience in Mashhad have the potential to exert a substantial influence on mitigating the local effects of climate change. The significance level and the standardized regression coefficient for each resilience component showed that the factor relating to the efficiency and effectiveness of adaptive measures had the greatest potential influence on reducing the localized impacts of climate change in Mashhad.
 

Discussion and Conclusion

Among the the manifest consequences of climate change at the urban scale, particularly in Mashhad, are increased atmospheric pollution, threats to public health, economic and livelihood precarity, damage to both super-structural and infrastructural assets, escalating demands for heating and cooling, heightened vulnerability to flash flooding, and water resource scarcity. These severe challenges definitively emphasize the exigency for strategic planning and the development of effective measures for increasing the resilience of cities and their inhabitants against the counteracting and mitigating the effects of climate change. The findings showed a remarkable paradox: while a strong and positive correlation exists between the components of Mashhad's urban management resilience and the reduction of climate change impacts, the urban management itself does not have the necessary operational resilience. This deficiency can be due to the urban management's failure in providing adequate awareness dissemination to citizens and its failure in the training of its personnel. Moreover, the inefficacy of most adaptive measures of the city’s urban management is attributed to a 
confluence of factors, including the lack of constructive engagement between Mashhad's urban management and local/governmental institutions, the obsolescence of pertinent guidelines and regulations, and the absence of clearly defined financial and informational resource provisions.
 

Keywords

Subjects

  1. آروین، ع. (1399). بررسی توریسم شهرستان فریدون کنار تحت شرایط تغییر اقلیم. فصلنامه علوم و تکنولوژی محیط­زیست، 22 (4)، 286-277.
  2. سایت سازمان هواشناسی کشور. (1401).
  3. سایت شهرداری مشهد. (1401).
  4. فیضی، ف.، و برک پور، ن. (1400). ارزیابی برنامه­های توسعه کلانشهر تهران و منطقه آن از دیدگاه پیامدهای تغییرات اقلیمی. مجله علمی معماری و شهرسازی صفه، 32 (97)، 88-71.
  5. مرکز آمار ایران. (1395). نتایج سرشماری عمومی نفوس و مسکن. تهران: مرکز آمار ایران.
  6. مرکز آمار ایران. (1399). سالنامه آماری استان خراسان رضوی. فصل اول، سرزمین و آب‌وهوا. تهران: مرکز آمار ایران.
  7. مصری علمداری، پ.، و رسولی، ح. (1400). تحلیل تأثیر تغییرات اقلیم شهری بر میزان توزیع فضایی جمعیت با تاکید بر جزایر حرارتی (نمونه موردی: شهر ساری). نشریه علمی جغرافیا و برنامه­ریزی، 25 (77)، 243-231.
  8. منافلویان، س.، سعیده زرآبادی، ز.، و بهزادفر، م. (1398). سنجش عوامل مؤثر بر تاب‌آوری اقلیمی (نمونه موردی: شهر تبریز). فصلنامه علمی- پژوهشی نگرش­های نو در جغرافیای انسانی، 12(1)، 525-510.

 

  1. Almutairi, A., Mourshed, M., & Ameen, R. F. M. (2020). Coastal community resilience frameworks for disaster risk management. Natural Hazards101(2), 595-630.‏
  2. Balbachevsky, E., & Kohtamäki, V. (2020). University, science and the new (and old) academic roles: Inner sources of institutional resilience. Sociologias22(54), 64-86.‏
  3. Bellinson, R., & Chu, E. (2019). Learning pathways and the governance of innovations in urban climate change resilience and adaptation. Journal of environmental policy & planning21(1), 76-89.‏
  4. Bottero, M., Datola, G., & De Angelis, E. (2020). A system dynamics model and analytic network process: An integrated approach to investigate urban resilience. Land9(8), 242.‏
  5. C40 (2018). Consumption-based GHG Emissions of C40 Cities. London: C40 Cities.
  6. Chan, E. Y., Ho, J. Y., Hung, H. H., Liu, S., & Lam, H. C. (2019). Health impact of climate change in cities of middle-income countries: the case of China. British Medical Bulletin130(1), 5-24.‏
  7. Driessen, P. P., Hegger, D. L., Kundzewicz, Z. W., Van Rijswick, H. F., Crabbé, A., Larrue, C., ... & Wiering, M. (2018). Governance strategies for improving flood resilience in the face of climate change. Water10(11), 1595.‏
  8. Du, Z., Lawrence, W. R., Zhang, W., Zhang, D., Yu, S., & Hao, Y. (2019). Interactions between climate factors and air pollution on daily HFMD cases: A time series study in Guangdong, China. Science of The Total Environment656, 1358-1364.‏
  9. Einstein, K. L., Glick, D. M., & Palmer, M. (2020). Can Mayors lead on climate change? Evidence from six years of surveys. In The Forum. De Gruyter.‏
  10. Faude, B. (2020). International institutions in hard times: How institutional complexity increases resilience. Complexity, Governance & Networks6(1), 46-54.‏
  11. Ferry, A., & von Kalm, N. (2015). Sustainable energy and climate change in municipal IDPs. A report on research undertaken by GIZ in partnership with the SA Local Government Association. Pretoria: GIZ. Retrieved, 11-2018.‏
  12. Grefalda, L. B., Pulhin, J. M., Tapia, M. A., Anacio, D. B., De Luna, C. C., Sabino, L. L., ... & Inoue, M. (2020). Building institutional resilience in the context of climate change in Aurora, Philippines. Environmental Research186, 109584.‏
  13. Hurlimann, A., Moosavi, S., & Browne, G. R. (2021). Urban planning policy must do more to integrate climate change adaptation and mitigation actions. Land use policy, 101, 105188.‏
  14. Kumar, P. (2021). Climate change and cities: challenges ahead. Frontiers in Sustainable Cities3, 645613.‏
  15. López, I., Ortega, J., & Pardo, M. (2020). Mobility infrastructures in cities and climate change: An analysis through the superblocks in Barcelona. Atmosphere11(4), 410.‏
  16. Ma, Q., Qi, Y., Shan, Q., Liu, S., & He, H. (2020). Understanding the knowledge gaps between air pollution controls and health impacts including pathogen epidemic. Environmental Research189, 109949.‏
  17. Meerow, S., & Newell, J. P. (2019). Urban resilience for whom, what, when, where, and why?. Urban geography40(3), 309-329.‏
  18. Mi, Z., Guan, D., Liu, Z., Liu, J., Viguié, V., Fromer, N., & Wang, Y. (2019). Cities: The core of climate change mitigation. Journal of Cleaner Production207, 582-589.‏
  19. Patterson, J. J., & Huitema, D. (2019). Institutional innovation in urban governance: The case of climate change adaptation. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management62(3), 374-398.‏
  20. Rosenzweig, C., Solecki, W. D., Romero-Lankao, P., Mehrotra, S., Dhakal, S., & Ibrahim, S. A. (Eds.). (2018). Climate change and cities: Second assessment report of the urban climate change research network. Cambridge University Press.‏
  21. Sarker, M. N. I., Yang, B., Yang, L., Huq, M. E., & Kamruzzaman, M. M. (2020). Climate change adaptation and resilience through big data. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications11(3).‏
  22. Satterthwaite, D., Archer, D., Colenbrander, S., Dodman, D., Hardoy, J., Mitlin, D., & Patel, S. (2020). Building resilience to climate change in informal settlements. One Earth2(2), 143-156.‏
  23. Shamsuddin, S. (2020). Resilience resistance: The challenges and implications of urban resilience implementation. Cities103, 102763.‏
  24. Thomson, G., & Newman, P. (2018). Urban fabrics and urban metabolism–from sustainable to regenerative cities. Resources, Conservation and Recycling132, 218-229.‏
  25. Torabi, E., Dedekorkut-Howes, A., & Howes, M. (2018). Adapting or maladapting: Building resilience to climate-related disasters in coastal cities. Cities72, 295-309.‏
  26. Weiss, M., & Heinkelmann-Wild, T. (2020). Disarmed principals: institutional resilience and the non-enforcement of delegation. European political science review12(4), 409-425.‏
  27. Woodruff, S. C., Meerow, S., Stults, M., & Wilkins, C. (2022). Adaptation to resilience planning: Alternative pathways to prepare for climate change. Journal of Planning Education and Research42(1), 64-75.‏
  28. World Bank. (2019). The World Bank Group Action Plan on Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience. , Washington, DC: World Bank.
  29. Xu, Y., & Lamarque, J. F. (2018). Isolating the meteorological impact of 21st century GHG warming on the removal and atmospheric loading of anthropogenic fine particulate matter pollution at global scale. Earth's Future6(3), 428-440.‏
  30. Zeng, X., Yu, Y., Yang, S., Lv, Y., & Sarker, M. N. I. (2022). Urban resilience for urban sustainability: Concepts, dimensions, and perspectives. Sustainability14(5), 2481.‏
  31. Zhang, X., & Li, H. (2018). Urban resilience and urban sustainability: What we know and what do not know?. Cities72, 141-148.‏
Send comment about this article
Enter Name.
Enter a valid email address.
Enter a vaid affiliation.
Enter comments (At leaset 10 words)
CAPTCHA Image
Enter Security Code Correctly.

  • Receive Date 08 August 2022
  • Revise Date 27 November 2022
  • Accept Date 16 December 2022